When will the current pope (fransis) die
12
130Ṁ3162026
27%
March 2025
21%
February 2025
21%
Jan 2026 or later
6%
April 2025
5%
May 2025
3%
July 2025
3%
August 2025
3%
September 2025
3%
October 2025
3%
November 2025
3%
December 2025
3%
June 2025
1.4%
This will relate to the news going out of the pope dying,
for example - the pope dies today but they keep it silent for 2 weeks, the question will resolve in 2 weeks on that date.
Also, if he abdicates and then dies i will still resolve as if he was pope
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Who will be the next Pope?
Will Pope Francis cease to be pope before the end of 2025?
93% chance
Will Pope Francis be alive through the end of 2025?
24% chance
Will Pope Francis pass away before the end of March 2025?
78% chance
Will Pope Francis cease to be pope before 2030?
99% chance
Will Pope Francis die in office?
84% chance
Which country will the next Pope following Pope Francis be from?
In which year will Pope Francis cease to be Pope?
In which month does Pope Francis pass away?
Will Pope Francis abdicate?
21% chance