How long will I live in San Francisco?
Basic
13
Ṁ8922031
82%
through December 2024
73%
through June 2025
71%
through December 2025
73%
through June 2026
56%
through December 2026
54%
through June 2027
46%
through December 2027
42%
through June 2028
38%
through December 2028
34%
through June 2029
31%
through December 2029
30%
through June 2030
26%
through December 2030
Each market resolves YES when I have contiguously lived in San Francisco until the end of that month.
I count it as living in SF if I tell people while abroad that "I live in SF", even if I haven't been in SF for e.g. a month.
When I trade in this market I will try to trade based on what I believe in the moment of trading (i.e. to trade in the direction of my belief).
I currently have a lease until.. June 2024, I think?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will I continue to live in SF between market creation and end of 2025?
74% chance
Will San Francisco rents increase in 2024?
64% chance
Will the population of San Francisco reach 950,000 before 2030?
31% chance
Will I move from my current house in the presidio at the end of the year?
31% chance
Will SF rents increase in 2024?
61% chance
Will the population of San Francisco increase from 2023 to 2024.
47% chance
What should I do in San Francisco before moving away?
Ṁ1,800 bounty
Will San Francisco hit its pre-pandemic population levels in 2023 (878.8k people)?
2% chance
Will the median home value in san francisco county be more than 2,000,000 USD in Q3 2029?
54% chance
Will the median home value in san francisco county be more than 1,500,000 USD in Q3 2029?
67% chance