Will AI lead to an S-risk by 2100? | Manifold

Will AI lead to an S-risk by 2100?

Basic

15

Ṁ3.6k

2100

25%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Will resolve to N/A on Jan 1st, 2100.

Close date updated to 2100-01-01 3:59 pm

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What counts as an S-risk?

This is guaranteed to resolve N/A?

I see. So it's basically a long-term version of my polling system. Interesting.

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