Will Germany take on new debt in any way, shape, or form in order to create the 2025 budget?
5
160Ṁ400Jan 1
92%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The question will resolve yes if any form of debt (whether it‘s a Sondervermögen, Notlage, or anything else) is taken on in order to put up a national budget for 2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
The debt brake is enshrined in Articles 109 and 115 of the German Basic Law. It provides for a structural and a cyclical component. The structural component limits the Federal Government's ability to incur new debt to 0.35% of nominal gross domestic product per year.
I assume you talk about debt above what the debt brake (Schuldenbremse) allows? Otherwise it is a certain YES.
As a followup: The output gap calculation method (EU-CAM, Potenzialschätzung) could be adapted to allow for a lot more debt while adhering to the debt brake. How would that resolve?
Related questions
Related questions
Will Germany introduce a carbon dividend/"Klimageld" before the next federal election?
2% chance
Will the German parliament reform the Schuldenbremse until 2026
61% chance
What will Germany's defense budget be for 2025? (excluding Zeitenwende!)
Will Germany introduce an equity reserve for pensions before 2026?
22% chance
Will Deutsche Bank AG be bailed out by the German government before 2026?
13% chance
Can Germany freeze AfD funding before August 2025?
12% chance
Will Germany pass a law introducing conscription for 18 year olds by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will Germany‘s economy (real GDP) grow in 2025?
72% chance
Will the German Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development (BMZ) exist at EOY 2025?
75% chance
Will there be a nuclear powerplant operating in Germany, in 2025?
2% chance