When will SpaceX successfully land Superheavy (Starship 1st stage) for the first time?
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Ṁ35kresolved Oct 13
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NOBefore 2024-08-01
Resolved
NOBefore 2024-09-01
Resolved
NOBefore 2024-10-01
Resolved
YESBefore 2024-11-01
Resolved
YESBefore 2024-12-01
Resolved
YESBefore 2025-01-01
Resolved
YESBefore 2025-02-01
Resolved
YESBefore 2025-03-01
The market resolves as soon as SpaceX manages to successfully land the first stage of the Starship rocket, aka Superheavy. Presumably the rocket will be captured by the launch tower, though other methods of landing would qualify, as long as it lands on land or on a barge. The rocket has to stay in one piece for at leave 1 hour of the landing.
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