When will Starship first launch or land on Earth with human passengers?
Plus
33
Ṁ3568Jan 2
1.6%
In 2024
4%
In 2025 or earlier
14%
In 2026 or earlier
23%
In 2027 or earlier
40%
In 2028 or earlier
50%
In 2029 or earlier
68%
In 2030 or earlier
The market will resolve positively as soon as SpaceX Starship spacecraft launches from or lands on the Earth with human astronauts on board. At least one passenger has to survive the maneuver.
I do not bet on my own markets.
Similar question about humans on board at any time in the flight:
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