What will be the most important medical development in the 2020s? | Manifold

What will be the most important medical development in the 2020s?

Standard

24

Ṁ771

2030

1D

1W

1M

ALL

30%

mRNA vaccines

8%

Ozempic

1.8%

Auto-immune disease anti-vaccine

61%

Other

Resolves to a manifest user's poll at the beginning of 2030.

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1,000

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1.00

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The auto immune disease option refers to this: https://pme.uchicago.edu/news/inverse-vaccine-shows-potential-treat-multiple-sclerosis-and-other-autoimmune-diseases

“Inverse vaccine” shows potential to treat multiple sclerosis and other autoimmune diseases

Pritzker Molecular Engineering researchers led by Prof. Jeffrey Hubbell showed that their compound can eliminate the autoimmune reaction associated with multiple sclerosis in a laboratory setting.

Ozempic went onto the market in the 2010s, not the 2020s: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Semaglutide

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The FDA will approve an AI developed cure before the end of the decade (<2030) for a previously incurable major illness.

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