Will the United States overtake China in PPP GDP by 2050?
Basic
30
Ṁ1.5k2050
57%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The World Bank will be used as the source to resolve this.
Automatically resolves if the US has a higher GDP than China in any year after 2023, if the Chinese economy becomes larger than the US one again, this still resolves YES.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:
The question is sort of, YES if Chinese citizens will be below 1/4 the productivity of the average USA citizen (in purchase parity corrected US$).
Related questions
Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?
52% chance
Will China really surpass US GDP by the 2030s?
45% chance
In which decade will China's GDP surpass US GDP?
Will China ever surpass US gdp?
66% chance
Will China's GDP surpass US GDP before 2035?
44% chance
Will India surpass China in terms of GDP before 2050?
43% chance
Will China's GDP-PPP per capita catch up with EU by 2050?
33% chance
Will Taiwan surpass the USA in GDP (PPP) per capita before 2035 if it isn't invaded by China?
62% chance
Will China's nominal GDP exceed the U.S.'s before 2040?
38% chance
Will China overtake the USA's economy by the end of 2030?
30% chance