Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?
88
1kṀ37k2050
48%
chance
7
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question will resolve as YES if China's nominal Gross Domestic Product (GDP) surpasses that of the United States before December 31, 2050, based on International Monetary Fund (IMF) data.
The resolution will not take into account other economic indicators such as Gross National Product (GNP), Purchasing Power Parity (PPP), or other alternative measures of economic power.
The determination of the nominal GDP of China and the United States will be based on the current market exchange rate, not adjusted for inflation or other factors.
In the event of a significant discrepancy in economic data between the IMF and other reputable sources, the resolution will defer to the IMF figures.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the United States overtake China in PPP GDP by 2050?
58% chance
Will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040?
17% chance
Will India surpass China in terms of GDP before 2050?
42% chance
Will China be the dominant economic and military superpower by 2100?
37% chance
Will China's GDP per capita surpass Japan's by the end of 2035?
12% chance
Will China still be the world's leading exporter (in USD) by the end of 2028?
64% chance
Will China's economy enter a recession by 2025?
25% chance
Will the United States population cross 350 million by end of year 2025?
5% chance
Will China overtake USA as a global superpower by the year 2060
POLL
Will the US population exceed 500 million by 2050?
39% chance