China/EU trade war by Aug 2025?
Basic
2
270
2025
39%
chance

https://www.reuters.com/markets/china-says-eu-escalation-trade-friction-could-trigger-trade-war-2024-06-21/

https://www.reuters.com/markets/china-may-take-anti-dumping-measures-against-eu-pork-imports-official-says-2024-06-20/

Resolves YES if on Aug 1st 2025 I can find:

  • 3 different articles on Reuters with "trade war" in the title, written after market creation

  • referring to a trade war between Europe/EU and China

  • referring to a ongoing thing, not a possibility

  • will resolve early if anyone can provide 3 such articles

Article titles that would count towards the resolution:

  • "Trade war heats up"

  • "Another blow in the trade war"

  • "EU parliament wants an end to the trade war"

Article titles that would NOT count towards resolution:

  • "Trade war imminent"

  • "Chinese president warns the EU that he's not afraid of trade war"

  • "The trade war looming ahead"

I will post any relevant articles I find. If you want to know whether an article counts towards the resolution, ask me in the comments.

As the resolution is quite unambiguous, I might trade in this market.

There are a bunch of stocks and commodities that will be affected.

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bought Ṁ250 NO

Betting NO cause Europeans are huge pussies about these kinds of things

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