
People are also trading
LOESS curve of opinion polls of voters for the 2025 Canadian federal election campaign:
Dark mode for viewing pleasure:
Up-to-date as of April 18, 2025. 30-poll smoothing factor. Square root applied to sample sizes when weighting. Highlight ribbon is of 95% confidence interval of local regression standard error (not polling margin of error).
@Predictor pretty much every poll has been showing a tightening. There's still time to get the right outcome

This is an impossible “gotcha” question, and the hosts should be ashamed of their behavior.
I dare any of you to say a single thing that you actually like about Quebec. See? The silence is deafening. Carney is being punished for his honesty.
@PeterNjeim Futarchy is already here: we short the market and sell treasury notes and boom, the president immediately reverses his policies!
@Joshua And as a central banker, Carney should be even more inclined to simply do what the market is pricing in that he'll do. Futarchy!
@Joshua I recall you mentioning him being a central banker earlier in reference to futarchy. I didn't respond that time but I will now, Pierre Poilievre is more pro-free market than Carney lmao
I dare any of you to say a single thing that you actually like about Quebec
Château Frontenac looks pretty cool
