At the end of 2023, what Manifold market will have the most traders?
Basic
9
Ṁ2937resolved Jan 1
100%99.1%
Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?
0.8%Other
0.0%
Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic nominee?
0.0%
Will Google search include a chatbot by the end of June 2023?
0.0%
Will Ukraine have control over Crimea by the end of 2023?
0.0%
Will AI be a major topic during the 2024 presidential debates in the United States?
0.0%
Dan Stock
0.0%
Aba stock
0.0%
Why was Sam Altman fired?
Resolves to whatever market has the most unique traders at the end of 2023.
I will use the "Unique Traders" number displayed by Manifold, which includes bots and alts, unless it is clear that a market's unique trader total has been heavily manipulated by illegitimate accounts trading on it. If the market with the most traders appears to have been manipulated in this way, and wouldn't be in the lead otherwise, then I will resolve to the next highest market.
/QuantumObserver/will-the-lk99-room-temp-ambient-pre
/NathanpmYoung/will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n
/MatthewBarnett/will-ai-be-a-major-topic-during-the
/Heaffey/will-ukraine-have-control-over-crim
/agentydragon/will-google-search-include-a-chatbo-ccc13e521ab6
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
At the end of 2024, what Manifold market will have the most traders?
Who will be the top trader on Manifold at the end of 2024?
How many Manifold markets will be created in 2024?
Who will start (actively) trading on Manifold in 2024?
Which Manifold User will create the most markets in 2024?
What will be the most popular Manifold market at the end of 2024?
Will Manifold Markets still be popular at the end of 2026?
77% chance
Will there be a Manifold Markets competitor before 2025?
85% chance
Will Manifold Markets be more popular than Polymarket by the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will any Manifold market reach 10,000 traders by the end of 2024?
1% chance