For which events will Manifold change its logo in 2024?

Manifold Business Future Manifold Features 2024 Summer Olympics Holidays Christmas April Fool's Events Halloween

Mini

Ṁ18k

2025

ALL

91%

10/31 Halloween

91%

12/25 Christmas

75%

11/28 Thanksgiving

71%

11/05 U.S. Election Day

57%

12/21 Winter Solstice (or winter in general)

49%

12/31 New Year's Eve

40%

07/26 - 08/11 Paris Olympics

16%

09/22 Fall equinox (or fall in general)

12%

10/14 Columbus Day and/or Indigenous People's Day

12%

09/02 Labor Day

10%

10/07 - 10/14 Nobel Prize announcements

11/01 - 11/02 Day of the Dead

11/11 Veterans Day/Armistice Day

10/09 Leif Erikson Day

07/04 U.S. Independence Day

Resolved

YES

03/31 Easter

Resolved

YES

04/01 April Fools Day

Resolves YES for all events which cause Manifold to temporarily change the logo displayed on the top left of the site to be themed after the event. The logo change does not necessarily have to happen on the exact date(s) listed if the event takes multiple days or is associated with a longer time period (e.g., the seasons). The dates listed are also subject to change if the event could be rescheduled (e.g., the first U.S. presidential debate). If an event is canceled, it resolves N/A.

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24 Comments

22 Holders

341 Trades

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07/04 U.S. Independence Day

bought Ṁ693 07/04 U.S. Independe... NO

@PlasmaBallin didn't see a logo change yesterday - this one can resolve no 🦅

@PlasmaBallin resolve more no

bought Ṁ334 Answer #ef87d3edf42b NO

@PlasmaBallin some of these can resolve 🚀

bought Ṁ75 Answer #d1794dc3b867 NO

hey @PlasmaBallin - mind resolving the June dates? 🙏

reposted

any pivot logo change bets?

04/22 Earth Day

This can resolve NO

bought Ṁ10 11/28 Thanksgiving YES

election day for sure

04/01 April Fools Day

bought Ṁ150 04/01 April Fools Day YES

@PlasmaBallin apparently we got 2 logo changes in 2 days.

I am going to buy so much YES shares in this market!

sold Ṁ13 04/01 April Fools Day YES

Our first positive resolution. I wonder if this decreases the probability that April Fool's Day resolves YES since they might not want to introduce a new logo two days in a row.

03/31 Easter

bought Ṁ35 03/31 Easter YES

bought Ṁ120 Answer #695f19551b5d NO

Resolve NO?

@RS This one doesn't resolve NO, note in the description:

The logo change does not necessarily have to happen on the exact date(s) listed if the event takes multiple days or is associated with a longer time period (e.g., the seasons)