Good Quote or Bad Quote? Which non-Twitter posts or quotes will Manifold think are good takes?
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Ṁ548
Nov 25
63%
Glenn: "[George W. Bush] should be in prison for war crimes, and while in prison he should be awarded the Nobel Peace Prize." https://statesofexception.substack.com/p/most-people-dont-grasp-nuance
49%
Jonathan Haidt: "Sports is to war as pornography is to sex." https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8SOQduoLgRw&t=405s
49%
Richard Hanania: "Economists have a better record than any other group of intellectuals and also better than popular opinion." https://substack.com/@richardhanania/note/c-74785521
Resolved
YES
Matt Yglesias: Point 20 here (A genuine failure of the media to convey accurate information is that people don't know Trump's policy is inflationary): https://www.slowboring.com/p/27-takes-on-the-2024-election
Resolved
YES
Bentham's Bulldog: "The defenses of meat eating involve extreme levels of cope." https://substack.com/@benthamsbulldog/note/c-74593604

Found an interesting take and wanted to get Manifolders' opinions on it, but couldn't because it wasn't a tweet? Now you can!

This is an equivalent to /Joshua/good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr for quotes that don't come from Twitter. Submit as your answer any "controversial" post, quote or meme from any source except Twitter/X. "Controversial" just means it should be something that people might disagree with, not that there is some active controversy around it. The originator of the quote can be anyone - it doesn't have to be a well-known person or public figure - as long as you respect people's privacy (e.g., don't post something that someone said in private and might be embarrassing without their permission). It is also acceptable to add quotes from Twitter in a few limited circumstances - namely, if the original market closes permanently, if the tweet has been deleted, or if a certain category of tweets are banned from the original market.

All answers should either include a full quote with attribution (if the attribution is known), or a description of the quote with a link to the full quote. Quotes that are from online posts should link to the post.

As with the original market, you can vote by buying YES shares (to indicate that you think it's a good take) or NO shares (bad take). The number of shares doesn't matter, so you are free to profit by buying more shares of opinions you think others will share and fewer shares of opinions you think will be outvoted, but please vote in good faith!

Every time the market closes, I will resolve options that have been voted as good takes by a clear majority to YES, and those that have been voted as bad takes to NO. Ones that are close, such that the winner looks like it may change as new votes roll in, will remain unresolved. Then I will reopen the market for another week. I will disregard votes from bots.

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Richard Hanania: "Economists have a better record than any other group of intellectuals and also better than popular opinion." https://substack.com/@richardhanania/note/c-74785521

Lmao I don't know if this is empirically true but it has the same vibes as Plato saying philosophers should run society

Glenn: "[George W. Bush] should be in prison for war crimes, and while in prison he should be awarded the Nobel Peace Prize." https://statesofexception.substack.com/p/most-people-dont-grasp-nuance

The case for war crimes somewhat makes sense, but the Nobel Peace Prize? Why on Earth would a guy known for starting wars deserve this?

@PlasmaBallin right, thanks that makes sense

Jonathan Haidt: "Sports is to war as pornography is to sex." https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8SOQduoLgRw&t=405s

This goes to action movies, not sports

Matt Yglesias: Point 20 here (A genuine failure of the media to convey accurate information is that people don't know Trump's policy is inflationary): https://www.slowboring.com/p/27-takes-on-the-2024-election

@PlasmaBallin Is this the media's fault? People are pretty ignorant about lots of things. And I'm sure I've seen several news stories highlighting that tariffs could make things more expensive.

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