Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030? | Manifold

Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030?

73

1kṀ6724

2029

51%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves "yes" if any of the six remaining Millenium Prize Problems are solved before Jan. 1, 2030, and the solution is accepted by the Clay Mathematics Institute.

Millennium Prize Problems

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

Arbitrage

https://www.ft.com/content/72d2c2b1-493b-4520-ae10-41c1a7f3b7e4

Interesting that the probability of this has gone up lately. Maybe people think the room-temperature superconductor will help solve the Millennium problems.

Why'd everyone bet this so far down without also betting on the identical market in the comments? There's an easy dutch book now.

predictedNO

Dutch book opportunity:

This is the AI's interpretation of what a Millennium Prize looks like:

Millenium Prize

Related:

Related questions

Will *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans?

Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2030?

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?

-4% 1d60% chance

Will a correct solution to a Millennium Prize Problem be published by the end of 2030?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?

Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2040?

Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?

Will all Millennium Prize problems by solved by the end of the century?

Which of the following Millennium Prize Problems will be solved before the end of 2030?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?

Related questions

Will *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans?

Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2040?

Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2030?

Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?

Will all Millennium Prize problems by solved by the end of the century?

Will a correct solution to a Millennium Prize Problem be published by the end of 2030?

Which of the following Millennium Prize Problems will be solved before the end of 2030?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules