Even though US Supreme Court Justices Gorsuch and Kavanaugh had testified under oath during their confirmation hearing that they believed Roe v. Wade settled legal precedent, they both voted to reverse the ruling in June 2022. Some lawmakers interpret this gesture as lying under oath, which could lead to an impeachment process.

If any Supreme Court Justice becomes the target of an impeachment process that is formally opened by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The Justice does not necessarily need to be removed from office or step down in order to this market to resolve as “Yes”.