By EOY 2025, will anyone die on a plane flight as a result of incendiary devices planted by Russia?
Basic
3
Ṁ1502026
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to mainstream media. If mainstream media blame Russia, resolves YES, although if things are unclear, I will wait to resolve this question.
As the resolution may be subjective or unclear, I will not trade on this question.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Russia detonate a nuclear device on Ukraine soil by December 31, 2026?
7% chance
Will there be another terrorist attack that Russia blames on Ukraine in 2024, causing at least 100 deaths?
20% chance
Will there be >10 deaths in internal conflicts in Russia in 2024?
71% chance
Will there be a plane crash in Russia with ≥100 victims?
17% chance
Will there be another spaceflight-related death by 2030?
49% chance
Will there be a civil war in Russia at any point before EOY 2050?
64% chance
Will there be a fatal airliner crash in the US before the end of 2024?
12% chance
Will more than 1000 people die in an internal conflict in Russia by 2025?
10% chance
Will there be a major aviation accident this year with greater loss of life than 2023?
26% chance
Will any minority pilot on a US airline make a mistake that results in at least one other person's death before 2028?
46% chance