Background

Intel, a leading semiconductor company with a market cap of approximately $190B, has been the subject of acquisition rumors. Recent reports from industry sources suggest an unidentified corporation is exploring the possibility of acquiring Intel, though no official statements have been made. Any acquisition would require extensive regulatory review due to Intel's critical role in semiconductor manufacturing and national security implications.

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves to the company or individual that acquires a controlling stake (>50%) in Intel during the 2025 calendar year. The acquisition must be fully completed (not just announced) in 2025 for the market to resolve to that entity.

A "merger of equals" between Intel and a listed company would also resolve to that answer

The market resolves N/A if:

• No acquisition occurs in 2025

• The acquisition is announced but not completed in 2025

Considerations

• Any acquisition would likely be one of the largest tech deals in history

• The deal would face intense regulatory scrutiny from multiple jurisdictions including the US, EU, and China

• National security concerns could impact approval, particularly for non-US acquirers

• Intel's x86 licensing agreements and manufacturing capabilities may influence which companies could realistically acquire them

• Update 2025-19-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Update from creator

  • If Intel sells off its foundry/fab division or design division but continues to operate under the same organizational structure, the market will resolve to N/A.