Will Google still be a big tech giant by the end of 2030?
Plus
33
Ṁ20002031
89%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will be resolved via public sentiment
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Google's only been around for 25 years (it was founded in 1998), so https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/wE7SK8w8AixqknArs/a-time-invariant-version-of-laplace-s-rule suggests that the probability it'll remain is (1 + 7/25)^(-1) = 78%.
In my opinion, this is way too high. https://www.reuters.com/technology/alphabet-falls-report-samsung-considering-bing-default-search-engine-2023-04-17/
> Google's reaction to the threat was "panic" as the company earns an estimated $3 billion in annual revenue from the Samsung contract, the report said, citing internal messages.
> Another $20 billion is tied to a similar Apple (AAPL.O) contract that will be up for renewal this year, the report added.
Related questions
Related questions
Which of the following products will google discontinue by 2030?
Will Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2030?
54% chance
Will Nvidia have a higher market cap. then Google at the end of 2024?
90% chance
Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032?
34% chance
Will Google Chrome be the most popular browser at the end of 2030?
74% chance
Will Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2040?
38% chance
Will a company replace Google's dominant market position by 2028?
25% chance
Will Silicon Valley still be the world's most successful tech hub in 2050?
63% chance
Will Apple still be The Largest Company in The World by the end of 2030?
27% chance
Will Google kill 15 or more products in 2024?📱⌚️🪦
21% chance