Will Google still be a big tech giant by the end of 2030?
Plus
33
Ṁ20002031
89%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will be resolved via public sentiment
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Google's only been around for 25 years (it was founded in 1998), so https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/wE7SK8w8AixqknArs/a-time-invariant-version-of-laplace-s-rule suggests that the probability it'll remain is (1 + 7/25)^(-1) = 78%.
In my opinion, this is way too high. https://www.reuters.com/technology/alphabet-falls-report-samsung-considering-bing-default-search-engine-2023-04-17/
> Google's reaction to the threat was "panic" as the company earns an estimated $3 billion in annual revenue from the Samsung contract, the report said, citing internal messages.
> Another $20 billion is tied to a similar Apple (AAPL.O) contract that will be up for renewal this year, the report added.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Nvidia have a higher market cap. then Google at the end of 2024?
95% chance
Which of the following products will google discontinue by 2030?
Will Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2030?
51% chance
Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032?
34% chance
Will Apple still be The Largest Company in The World by the end of 2030?
37% chance
Will Google Chrome be the most popular browser at the end of 2030?
74% chance
Will Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2040?
37% chance
Will a company replace Google's dominant market position by 2028?
25% chance
Will Silicon Valley still be the world's most successful tech hub in 2050?
63% chance
Will Google kill 15 or more products in 2024?📱⌚️🪦
20% chance