Will China institute a naval blockade of Taiwan before the end of 2025?
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Ṁ3103Dec 31
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Will resolve to YES IFF China institutes some type of naval blockade against Taiwan between the start of this market and before the end of 2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@JoshuaWilkes The moderation guidelines don't really give us any tools here. I can say that moderators asked to resolve this would probably use their best judgement given the state of the market. If you're concerned, don't bet in this market -- in fact, you seem to be very interested and I know you are good at running markets, you should make your own version if you feel comfortable doing so.
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