A company from which continent will achieve AGI first?
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Plus
71
Ṁ3217
Dec 31
70%
North America
23%
Asia
6%
Europe
0.6%
Other
0.2%
Antarctica

This question is copy of the other question where the options are dependent on each other.

In case company will be multinational, place of their HQ will be considered. If it will be research program or joint venture by multiple companies the majority state will be considered.

Feel free to add other continents if you feel so.

Criteria to be used for AGI will be the same as the one in the long bet: https://longbets.org/1/

Duration will be extended as needed.

I will not participate in this market.

Props to @Gen for financing it.

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company?

@DibbidyDoo Well it could be a person as well. Even so we will look which continent he lived at the time of the finding.

@ftkurt or a government sponsored research institution.

Antarctica?

@father Well it goes into “Other” but feel free to add it separately for yourself :)

@Fatih I'm just razzing. Would make a good sci fi movie though.

@father Yup definitely. It would be even better plot if some rich guy built an empire middle of the ocean or in space.

@father Mad lad did it. He added Antarctica. 😎

@Fatih It’s only slightly less probable than Europe! Seems mispriced

@father Im very surprised nobody voted europe. Certainly way lower than US, but definitely underpriced. There is a good chance some companies could very well achieve that from Europe. I would personally put Asia and Europe on par with each other.

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