Will there be a commercially available eVTOL before Jan 1st 2028? | Manifold

Will there be a commercially available eVTOL before Jan 1st 2028?

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What counts as "commercially available"? Do kits count? Does it have to be certificated, or does experimental count?

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Technology questions

Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?

Will GPT-5 be released before 2025?

Business questions

This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.

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Electric Vehicles questions

Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

Air travel questions

Will I think it's worth wearing an N95 mask on airplanes in August 2024?

Will any US state shut down all of its international airports for any length of time by end 2025?

Related questions

Will a commercial airline have an eVTOL in use on a working public route by the end of 2026?

Will a commercial airline have an eVTOL in use on a working public route by the end of 2025?

Will the Tesla Bot be available by 2028?

Will there be an electric* passenger airliner in commercial operation before 2028?

Will I See a "Jetson" or similar human piloted flying electric VTOL 'copter by the end of 2024?

Will we have flying cars commercially available by the year 2035?

Which eVTOL manufacturer will be first to achieve FAA certification?

Will There Be a "Flying Car" (VTOL) Under $50,000 by 2040 in the US?

Will someone sell a non-lithium EV before 2025?

Will the FAA certify an eVTOL aircraft before 2025?