Will a NATO aircraft shoot down a missile or drone fired towards a target in Ukraine before 2027?
Plus
18
Ṁ4722027
61%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that an aircraft under the direct sovereign control of a NATO member has shot down a missile or drone fired towards a target in Ukraine before January 1st 2027.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Russia shoot down an F-16 over Ukraine before the end of 2025?
72% chance
Will a NATO member send troops to Ukraine before 2026?
32% chance
Will the war in Ukraine end before 2027?
64% chance
Will any other country provide air defence coverage for Ukraine, before June 2025?
19% chance
Will Ukraine demonstrate a domestically-produced short-range ballistic missile by the end of 2025?
50% chance
Will Ukraine demonstrate a domestically-produced medium-range ballistic missile by the end of 2025?
42% chance
Will Ukraine demonstrate a domestically-produced intermediate-range ballistic missile by the end of 2025?
45% chance
[Metaculus] Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?
28% chance
Will the Ukrainians get the German Taurus cruise missile before the end of 2025?
67% chance
Will the Ukrainians get the German Taurus cruise missile before the end of 2026?
63% chance