Will Ukraine fire an ATACMS missile into Russia before September 1st 2026?
Mini
12
Ṁ5692026
94%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Ukraine has fired an ATACMS missile into Russia before September 1st 2026.
If there is only weak evidence that this has occurred, this question resolves as N/A. If there is no evidence, then this question resolves as NO.
"Russia" is defined as its 1991 borders. Crimea/Donbas are not Russia.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Will Russia open a new front in Ukraine before September 1, 2024?
18% chance
Will Russia shoot down an F-16 over Ukraine before the end of 2025?
81% chance
Will a NATO aircraft shoot down a missile or drone fired towards a target in Ukraine before 2027?
55% chance
Will any other country provide air defence coverage for Ukraine, before June 2025?
32% chance
Will Ukraine be given more than 100 missiles with over a 200km range in 2023?
65% chance
Will the Ukrainians get the German Taurus cruise missile before the end of 2024?
13% chance
Will a NATO member send troops to Ukraine before 2026?
28% chance
Will Ukraine militarily destroy or disable ALL Russian A-50 airborne early warning and control aircraft by EOY 2025?
25% chance
Will Russia nuke Ukraine before the end of 2026?
6% chance
Will Russia threaten non-Ukrainian cities with a small nuclear attack before 2025?
17% chance