Will conflicts in the 2020s be called The Drone Wars?
Plus
17
Ṁ11982045
17%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that a conflict or set of conflicts have become commonly referred to as "The Drone Wars". At least one of these conflicts this term refers to must have occurred between January 1st 2020 and December 31st 2029.
If no such terminology has emerged by January 1st 2045, then this question resolves as NO. If there is weak evidence that this term is used, but no strong evidence that it is commonplace, then this question resolves as N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Which of these military conflicts will "turn hot" in 2024?
Will the "culture war" come for AI before end 2024?
36% chance
Will a civilian be killed by an individually-targeted, AI-guided, kamikaze aerial drone by the end of 2024?
30% chance
Will a drone swarm cause havoc in a major city by 2026?
36% chance
Will there be a military drone-swarm to drone-swarm dogfight (packfight?) before July 2025?
25% chance
Will there be an anti-AI terrorist incident by 2028?
61% chance
Will a new major war break out in 2024?
12% chance
Will the left/right culture war come for AI before the end of 2024?
11% chance
Will the decade from 2020 through the end of 2029 become known as the "Warring Twenties"?
18% chance
Will the number of conflicts involving AI-powered autonomous weapons systems rise by at least 50% within next 10 years?
76% chance