"Nintendo Switch 2" refers to Nintendo's rumored next console, regardless of whether it has anything to do with the Nintendo Switch. Once it is officially announced, this market may be edited to clarify references to it.
For each series, the respective market will resolve YES if:
A new game in the series is released specifically for Nintendo Switch 2.
A game releasing for Nintendo Switch and the Switch 2 being backwards compatible is NOT sufficient.
A game with specific versions for multiple consoles (like how Twilight Princess released for both GameCube and Wii, or third-party multiplatform games) IS sufficient.
A port or remaster of an existing game in the series is released on Nintendo Switch 2.
Emulations (such as Atari 50 or the Nintendo Switch Online service) are NOT sufficient.
All other markets resolve NO when Nintendo stops allowing games to be released both physically and digitally for Nintendo Switch 2, or when no games have officially released for Nintendo Switch 2 in over one year, whichever is earlier.
Whether a given game is part of a given series will be determined by how it is described by a consensus of reporting. If a market resolution seems likely to be controversial, I may conduct a Manifold poll to assist in determing the resolution.
Close date is provisional and may be adjusted.
For the first three days after market creation, resolution criteria is in "draft mode" and I reserve the right to make small changes.
@No_uh Some level of arbitrage with my pokemon pinball markets
https://manifold.markets/asmith/will-there-be-a-new-pokemon-pinball-50780e142d7e
https://manifold.markets/asmith/will-there-be-a-new-pokemon-pinball
@OP yes, makes sense to me; for example how Persona 5 is clearly part of the Shin Megami Tensei series
@OP emulations don't count, even if part of a collection. for example, I pointed out Atari 50 as not counting