Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 3 years?
10
170Ṁ3202026
60%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to NO if I'm spending less than half of my working time doing alignment research at Redwood Research.
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According to this market, there's only a 50% chance of Redwood existing in 3 years.
https://manifold.markets/RyanGreenblatt/will-redwood-research-still-exist-i-61212f9cdb2f
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