Will Falcon 9 family of rockets launch to orbit (successfully) more times in 2025 than in 2024?
SpaceSpacexRockets
Mini
9
Ṁ717
2026
93%
chance

Falcon 9 Family includes Falcon heavy and Falcon 9.

If by chance there are failures or intentional suborbital flights they do not count to the total.

Number of launches must be more than for yes. If they are equal it does not count as “more than” and no would be correct.

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Falcon 9 under FAA mishap investigation due to 2nd stage failure (under performance due to potential leak indicated by excessive ice build up). Interested how you guys think this will affect this market.

Uh, should increase the chances, no? An anomaly that occurs once in more than 300 flights isn't expected to happen in 2025, so they should be able to get better than 2024 even more easily.

But long term markets that are already high aren't really worth locking mana into

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