Will Ukraine default on any of it's national government debt in 2025?

1kṀ400

Dec 31

34%

chance

ALL

Will Ukraine default on any of it's sovereign national debt, to any creditor, within calendar year 2025?

A default is defined as not being able to pay debt by the time it's due, or not being able to pay interest when it's due (unless specifically negotiated a delay to those payments).

Update 2025-03-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Federal Debt Definition
- Federal sovereign debt means debt issued by a country's national (federal) government.
- Debt issued by provincial, local, or private entities is not included.
- The term federal is not related to the form of government or concepts like federalization.

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will the US government default on its debt by the end of 2025?

5% chance

Will the United States default on its sovereign debt obligations by December 31, 2025?

5% chance

Will Ukraine hold a presidential election in 2025?

44% chance

Will Russia nuke Ukraine before the end of 2025?

3% chance

Will Ukraine join the EU by 2025?

5% chance

Will Russia completely annex Ukraine by end of 2025?

2% chance

Will Russia/Ukraine break their ceasefire before the end of 2025?

50% chance

Will Russia pay at least $1bn in reparations to Ukraine by Jan 1, 2026?

8% chance

If Ukraine holds an election in 2025, who will win?

Will Belarus invade Ukraine by the end of 2025?

Sort by:

bought Ṁ100 NO

Now, not to win on a technicality but... when do you expect Ukraine to federalize?

@hidetzugu Federal sovereign debt refers to a country's national debt at the federal level (as opposed to provincial, local, or private). It's not a reference to a form of government.

@SCM i get your intent and placed my bet with it in mind but you are just wrong on terminology. The word you are looking for is "National". As in here is a plot of ukraine's national debt:

https://www.ceicdata.com/en/indicator/ukraine/national-government-debt