Will the FDA approve Viagra as a treatment for Alzheimer's before 2030? | Manifold

Will the FDA approve Viagra as a treatment for Alzheimer's before 2030?

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20

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2030

19%

chance

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1M

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Will sildenafil (brand name Viagra) be officially approved by the FDA as an Alzheimer's treatment at any time before 2030?

Background: Viagra associated with reduced risk of Alzheimer’s disease

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bought Ṁ50 NO

Weak data, conflicting evidence, and confounders => It's a no for me (unfortunately): https://www.rapamycin.news/t/large-study-finds-viagra-is-linked-to-almost-70-lower-risk-of-alzheimers/357/129?u=adssx

Surely the original poster deleting their tweet isn't a good sign for Yes here 😂

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