Background:

In 1992, political scientist Francis Fukuyama proposed the "End of History" thesis in his book "The End of History and the Last Man." Fukuyama argued that the widespread adoption of liberal democracy and free-market capitalism might signal the endpoint of humanity's sociocultural evolution and the final form of human government.

The key pillars of Fukuyama's "End of History" are:

1. Sovereign nation-states as the primary political units

2. Capitalism as the dominant economic system

3. Classical liberalism as the prevailing political ideology

4. Democracy as the most common form of governance

Question:

By December 31, 2035, will the global political and economic landscape still largely align with Fukuyama's vision, or will a credible and generally applicable alternative have emerged?

Resolution Criteria:

This question will be resolved subjectively based on my analysis of global trends as of December 31, 2035. The resolution will be "Yes" if:

1. No credible and universally applicable alternative to the nation-state system, capitalism, liberalism, and democracy has emerged.

2. These pillars remain the dominant model for most major economies, even if exceptions like China persist or if some countries regress on one or more of these pillars.

The question will resolve "No" if a compelling alternative system has gained widespread acceptance and challenges the dominance of at least one of Fukuyama's pillars on a global scale.

For example, if leading nations start adopting a model of "Fully automated luxury communism," or if sovereignty is transferred to a supranational "world government," this question will resolve as "No."

If there is significant ambiguity in the resolution, or if I'm not available to resolve it, this question should be resolved with a Manifold poll.