Will there be another Arab Spring by 2035?
Basic
16
Ṁ2622035
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if I see evidence of revolutions, protests, constitutional changes, etc. on the scale of the Arab Spring in at 3 least Middle East or North African countries within the span of 1 year. Otherwise resolves NO.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:
‘Largest protests yet’: Masses around country rally against curbing of judiciary: https://www.timesofisrael.com/largest-protests-yet-masses-around-country-rally-against-curbing-of-justice-system/amp/
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be an Arab Spring-style wave of political unrest in the Middle East? [2025]
36% chance
Will there be a conflict between 3 or more states in the middle east before 2025?
55% chance
Coup in Iran, Egypt, Syria, Jordan or Lebanon before 2025
31% chance
Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030?
55% chance
Will there be a conflict between 3 or more nation states in the middle east before 2025? [Note nation states]
20% chance
Will Iran be a democracy in 2030?
26% chance
Will there be a major uprising against Taliban government in Afghanistan by 2030?
61% chance
Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?
35% chance
Will Egypt go to war with Ethiopia by 2030?
25% chance
Will a regional war break out in the Middle East before the end of 2024?
68% chance