Will there be another Arab Spring by 2035?
Plus
16
Ṁ2612035
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if I see evidence of revolutions, protests, constitutional changes, etc. on the scale of the Arab Spring in at 3 least Middle East or North African countries within the span of 1 year. Otherwise resolves NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
‘Largest protests yet’: Masses around country rally against curbing of judiciary: https://www.timesofisrael.com/largest-protests-yet-masses-around-country-rally-against-curbing-of-justice-system/amp/
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be an Arab Spring-style wave of political unrest in the Middle East? [2025]
38% chance
Will there be a conflict between 3 or more states in the middle east before 2025?
66% chance
Will there be a conflict between 3 or more nation states in the middle east before 2025? [Note nation states]
18% chance
Coup in Iran, Egypt, Syria, Jordan or Lebanon before 2025
15% chance
Will a regional war break out in the Middle East before the end of 2024?
61% chance
Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030?
48% chance
Will any of the following Western countries have a civil war by 2030?
19% chance
Will the US see a violent insurgency before 2030?
Will Iran be a democracy in 2030?
25% chance
Will there be a Fatwa issued by a middle eastern country in 2024?
66% chance