Will we (temporarily) cross the 3 degrees celcius of global warming by 2026?
8
170Ṁ7652027
4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Essentially, will 2023, 2024, 2025 or 2026 be on average 3 degree celsius hotter than the 1850-1900 baseline?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will the average global temperature in 2025 exceed 2024?
42% chance
Will the average global temperature in 2025 exceed 2023?
78% chance
Will the average global temperature in 2026 exceed 2025?
55% chance
Will Earth's average yearly temperature be 1.5 degrees by late 2028?
19% chance
Will the global near-surface temperature exceed 1.5℃ above the preindustrial average for at least one year in 2023-2027?
97% chance
Will a erage earth temperature increase by more than 2 % by the end of 2025?
26% chance
Will the world be hotter on average by one degree in 2 years?
15% chance
Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2026, according to Berkeley Earth?
56% chance
Will the world pass 1.5 C average annual temperature by 2030?
91% chance
Will the mean global near-surface temperature for 2023-2027 exceed 1.5℃ above the preindustrial average?
46% chance