What country will first denote a nuclear weapon in combat?
Mini
6
Ṁ2513050
1D
1W
1M
ALL
46%
Russia
16%
8%
United States
5%
India
5%
Pakistan
3%
North Korea
3%
Iran
2%
South Africa
2%
Belarus
2%
Ukraine
2%
Israel
2%
United Kingdom
1.9%
France
1.9%
China
If no weapon is ever detonate, this market will remain open indefinitely.
If there's uncertainty as to responsibility, then I will resolve to whichever country the weapon was housed in. For example, if an ostensibly Russian-operated weapon is launched from Belarus, and both countries deny responsibility, this market will resolve to Belarus.
Betting policy: I expect resolution to be pretty much unambiguous, so I'll bet in this market unrestrictedly.
Get Ṁ600 play money
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