Will Nick Szabo (computer scientist and cryptographer) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Basic
8
Ṁ5032029
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that Nick Szabo (computer scientist, cryptographer, and creator of "bit gold") has been criminally charged with any felony crime.
Resolves "No" if this does not happen by Jan 1st, 2030. Part of a large question series.
Question is global -- charges in any country count.
Charges count even if they do not lead to a conviction, were settled before a conviction, or if he was found not guilty.
Minor misdemeanors do not count, only more serious (i.e. "felony") charges.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Elon Musk be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
27% chance
Will Eddie Ibanez (CryptoZoo Lead Developer) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
29% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be charged with a federal crime before the end of 2028?
4% chance
Will David Sacks be found to have committed a felony before 2030?
26% chance
Will Barry Silbert (Digital Currency Group founder) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
20% chance
Will Sam Altman be charged with a felony crime before 2030?
22% chance
Will Ben Zhou (CEO of Bybit exchange) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
33% chance
Will Richard Teng (current CEO of Binance) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
52% chance
Will Vitalik Buterin (co-founder and inventor of Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
5% chance
Will Marc Andreessen be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
8% chance