Will Richard Hanania (political writer) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Plus
21
Ṁ19402029
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that Richard Hanania (political writer, president of CSPI) has been criminally charged with any felony crime.
Resolves "No" if this does not happen by Jan 1st, 2030. Part of a large question series.
Question is global -- charges in any country count.
Charges count even if they do not lead to a conviction, were settled before a conviction, or if he was found not guilty.
Minor misdemeanors do not count, only more serious (i.e. "felony") charges.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@jacksonpolack I know I should be placing trades on these and making mama, but I'm holding onto some vague notion of market maker purity or something. I might just say "fuck it" and start doing that.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Elon Musk be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
32% chance
Will Ron DeSantis (American politician, attorney) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
37% chance
Will Richard Heart (Richard James Schueler) be convicted of any felony crime before 2030?
42% chance
Will Richard Heart (Richard James Schueler) be charged of any felony crime before 2030?
77% chance
Will Amin Aalipour (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
21% chance
Will Joe Biden (U.S. president) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
12% chance
Will Sam Altman be charged with a felony crime before 2030?
22% chance
Will Alex Abramson (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
19% chance
Will Dana White (UFC fight promoter) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
19% chance
Will Alberto Arenaza (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
22% chance