Which of these AI predictions will happen in 2024?
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Ṁ2291Jan 1
17%
iOS update turning your iPhone into an intelligent wizard brick
45%
end-to-end music generators 2x better than Suno
6%
-GPT-5, which Sam Altman said could be "the pivotal moment" more than ChatGPT was
31%
-Devin availability, and agents that can autonomously do real SWE
39%
agents doing all sorts of tasks, as a consequence of just swapping in stronger models
31%
Sora public release, and the proliferation of hyper-realistic AI video
88%
Video-input, long-context models. Gemini-1.5 and similar available to the public
92%
LLaMA-3 and GPT-4-level open-source models
95%
More robotics advances
I will probably resolve these according to my subjective opinion and not operationalize strict criteria, please bet (or don't) accordingly.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@SemioticRivalry Well Sora released and there's a decent amount of decently realistic videos out there. The exact criteria seem unclear though.
Resolution criterium?
elaborate a bit? If SIRI gets a major update - is that a fairly intelligent wizard brice? is it about agents in ios?
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