Which of these AI predictions will happen in 2024?
Basic
40
Ṁ1.1k2025
1D
1W
1M
ALL
26%
iOS update turning your iPhone into an intelligent wizard brick
45%
end-to-end music generators 2x better than Suno
57%
-GPT-5, which Sam Altman said could be "the pivotal moment" more than ChatGPT was
37%
-Devin availability, and agents that can autonomously do real SWE
51%
agents doing all sorts of tasks, as a consequence of just swapping in stronger models
41%
Sora public release, and the proliferation of hyper-realistic AI video
88%
Video-input, long-context models. Gemini-1.5 and similar available to the public
88%
LLaMA-3 and GPT-4-level open-source models
90%
More robotics advances
I will probably resolve these according to my subjective opinion and not operationalize strict criteria, please bet (or don't) accordingly.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
iOS update turning your iPhone into an intelligent wizard brick
Resolution criterium?
iOS update turning your iPhone into an intelligent wizard brick
elaborate a bit? If SIRI gets a major update - is that a fairly intelligent wizard brice? is it about agents in ios?
Related questions
Which AI will be the best at the end of 2024?
Which AIs will be available in Siri in 2024?
Which AI will be the best at the end of 2025?
What will be the top-3 AI labs in 2024?
Which of the following AI-related statements will happen first?
🤖 Which 5 AI advancements in 2024 will be the most important? [Free response]
Will Science's Top Breakthrough of the Year in 2024 be AI-related?
41% chance
Where will the next major breakthrough in AI originate from before 2025?
Which AI future will we get?
Will we have better-than-human-aggregate forecasting AIs by the end of 2024?
19% chance