Will RFK Jr. participate in a presidential debate in 2024? | Manifold

Will RFK Jr. participate in a presidential debate in 2024?

Plus

94

Ṁ52k

Nov 6

1.5%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

only if he debates one of the major party candidates

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Presidential Debate

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

#Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

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RFK at debate stage -

bought Ṁ100 YES

the blessing of musk

@Blomfilter an offer to host by mr musk

bought Ṁ150 NO

0 chance biden or trump accept elon hosting though right

I've made a conditional version of this market, if anyone is interested in forecasting if RFK Jr. will participate in a presidential debate without worrying whether Trump and Biden will:

Does it count if he debates another independent?

@SemioticRivalry Third party? Or only if it involves a Dem/GOP nominee?

@june the latter

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-6% 1d13% chance

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Related questions

Will RFK Jr be the most voted candidate in at least one state in the 2024 presidential election?

Will RFK Jr. win 5 or more states in the 2024 US Presidential Election

Will RFK Jr be assassinated before the 2024 election

Will RFK Jr. get above 5% in the 2024 Presidential election?

Will Robert F Kennedy Jr. win any state in the 2024 United States presidential election?

Will RFK Jr. be elected President of the United States in 2024?

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win any electoral college votes in the 2024 US presidential election?

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Will RFK Jr. get more than 5% of the popular vote in the Nov 2024 US Election?

How many states will RFK Jr. win in 2024?

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