Will there be >15% unemployment at any time prior to January 1st 2026?
Basic
6
Ṁ2932026
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Inspired by this discussion on Twitter
Resolves pursuant to the National Unemployment Rate from the Current Population Survey by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will US unemployment be 15% or more before 2030?
18% chance
Will unemployment rate in the US reach 10% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?
24% chance
Will US unemployment be 10% or more before 2030?
23% chance
Will the U.S. be at full employment in December 2024?
45% chance
Will US unemployment be 20% or more before 2030?
21% chance
Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2025?
46% chance
Will jobless claims go above 300,000 before 2025?
50% chance
Will AI cause the US Unemployment Rate to exceed 10% before 2030?
19% chance
Will world unemployment reach 20% at any time before 2030?
23% chance
Will the US unemployment rate exceed 10% again before 2030?
22% chance