Will the Gaza strip be part of Egypt by 2026?
Plus
15
Ṁ29052026
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Edge cases:
Has to be at least half of the area currently walled off from Isreal and Egypt.
International recognition is not necessary as long as both Egypt and Israel agree the area belongs to Egypt.
Does not have to be permanent but has to last at least 24 hours.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Israel annex Gaza by the end of 2024?
4% chance
Will Israel annex any part of Gaza by the end of 2025?
33% chance
Will Israel occupy Gaza on a semi-permanent or permanent basis before 2025?
69% chance
Will the PA take control of Gaza before 2025?
4% chance
Will Israel annex any part of Gaza by the end of 2025?
60% chance
How many people will cross from Gaza into Egypt through the Rafah crossing by the end of 2024
Will Gaza be de facto controlled by Israel at the end of 2024?
13% chance
Will Hamas hold territory in the Gaza Strip at the end of 2024?
82% chance
Will Egypt withdraw recognition of Israel by EOY 2026?
24% chance
Will Egypt control the Gaza Strip by the end of 2024?
7% chance