Will the current Israeli government last ~a full term?
Basic
18
Ṁ1.4k
2026
23%
chance

This resolves as Yes if the government does not declare intent to dissolve early before June 30, 2026. It resolves No if a declaration is made by 2026.06.30, with a dissolution date on or before 2026.07.31.

Get Ṁ600 play money
1 Comment
17 Holders
47 Trades
Sort by:

Point of clarification: this market only requires that the government lasts at least that long. If it lasts significantly longer (e.g. if the next election is postponed by a year or more) this would still settle as yes.

Related questions