If Trump is convicted, will he be pardoned? (2028)
➕
Plus
26
Ṁ1463
2028
41%
chance

Trump, as well as some other Republican candidates, might pardon Trump if they become the president and Trump is convicted. But will they actually do so?

Resolves to N/A if all of Trump's investigations are closed without convictions. Resolves yes if Trump has been pardoned by the president by the 2028 election day. Resolves no if Trump has not been pardoned by the time. If the pardon is challenged by the courts, this will resolve yes regardless.

#Trump
#Republican Party
#Trump indictment(s)
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ100 YES

Why end this on the 2028 election day? It's somewhat likely he would pardon himself on the last day of the presidency

What if he declares a self-pardon and self-pardons are subsequently ruled to be unconstitutional?

predictedNO

@Jai As I explained in the description, only a pardon attempt is necessary for this to resolve as a yes.

What about state convictions? The President cannot pardon those.

Georgia does not permit pardons by anybody.

@NiallWeaver Well then he can't be pardoned. Still, he only needs to be pardoned on a single conviction for this to resolve to yes.

Related questions

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules