Who will win a Nobel Prize before 2030? [Unlinked free response] | Manifold

Who will win a Nobel Prize before 2030? [Unlinked free response]

Basic

14

Ṁ1228

2030

98.6%

Demis Hassabis

96%

Daron Acemoglu

61%

Salman Rushdie

53%

David Deutsch

52%

Peter Zoller

52%

Gilles Brassard

50%

Can Xue

50%

Susumu Kitagawa

50%

Robert S Langer

50%

Krzysztof Matyjaszewski

50%

Jun Ye

49%

Peter Shor

48%

Charles Henry Bennett

47%

Olga Botner

43%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

36%

Chi-Huey Wong

35%

Omar Farha

35%

William Jorgesen

35%

Omar M. Yaghi

34%

Jean Fréchet

Any laureate who wins a Nobel prize will resolve YES at the time of winning. The others will resolve NO by the market close. Only prizes received after 2023 (when this market opened) count.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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Hope we soon get a search field for those type of market

William Jorgesen

Meant Jorgensen, but there is probably no homonimy risks

Am I allowed to submit answers after they are already true?

@Joshua No. I will clarify in the description

I mean prizes after this market is created, but where no one submitted them as an answer before it became true. But also as I type this, I realize this is no different from just making my own "Is 1+1 = 2" market so it is a silly question.

@Joshua Yes, that is allowed. There's no "other" option anyways so that can compensate for that

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