How much will the NIH spend on Long Covid/PASC in 2025? | Manifold

How much will the NIH spend on Long Covid/PASC in 2025?

Basic

6

Ṁ352

2026

1.9%

<$10M

2%

$10M-50M

2%

$51M-$100M

72%

$101M-$250M

9%

$251M- $500M

3%

$501M - $750M

3%

$750M - $1,100M

5%

> $1,100M

3%

Other

This question will resolve based on https://report.nih.gov/funding/categorical-spending#/ + any specific budgets.

The 2020-approved RECOVER budget of $1.15Bln. counts only until 2024.

The predicted spending for 2024 is currently (Nov '23) $80M.

https://report.nih.gov/funding/categorical-spending#/

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bought Ṁ2 YES

Sanders introduced a Moonshot bill:

https://www.sanders.senate.gov/press-releases/news-sanders-introduces-historic-moonshot-legislation-to-address-the-long-covid-crisis/

Would yield 1 billion for 10 years, but I strongly doubt it will pass, unless the Long Covid community has a really effective advocacy campaign. Of course, it could also be watered down and still yield a substantial (and more reasonable) budget

@JRP @SawyerBlatz

https://x.com/PatientPersists/status/1822702785525354766

bought Ṁ50 YES

https://recovercovid.org/updates/nih-to-bolster-RECOVER-Long-COVID-research-efforts

Seems like it will be 100M+ unless something really weird happens in Congress. (Seems unlikely but can only speculate on something like a Republican overhaul of NIH causing some type of administrative chaos?)

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Related questions

How many people will report to 'currently have Long Covid' according to the CDC Household Pulse Survey, on Dec 1, 2024?

Will any medication be approved for Long Covid/PASC in any Western country before 2026?

Will the NIH's annual budget in 2028 be at least 50% lower than its 2024 budget in nominal dollars?

[Metaculus] Before 2032, will at least $30 billion in new funding be authorized towards US pandemic preparedness?

100k or more COVID-19 deaths in the US from 12/30/2023-1/4/2025?

Will any study show that fecal transplants improve Long COVID symptoms by the end of 2024?

Will there be another pandemic before 2025?

Will any new drug be approved for treating Long COVID or ME/CFSby the end of 2024?

Will the WHO declare Nipah Virus a pandemic before 2025?

In Jan 2027, Catastrophic Pandemics (or similar) will be on 80,000 hours top priority list

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