
Will the UCSF AER002 phase 2 pilot trial show statistically significantly positive results?
2
70Ṁ15Dec 31
38%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Trial registration: https://classic.clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT05877508
This will resolve based on the primary outcome measure only:
Change in Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System (PROMIS)-29 Score from Baseline.
Twitter thread:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will we get conclusive evidence to prove that ALTO-100 performs better than placebo against Depression and/or PTSD before 2027?
17% chance
Will AOH1996 succeed in Phase I trial?
81% chance
Will the Phase 2 Trials of Lepodisiran be a Success?
57% chance
Will the M72/AS01E tuberculosis vaccine candidate have an efficacy of 50% or higher in the phase 3 trial?
59% chance
Conditional on such a study being run, will an independent RCT evaluating Silexan for anxiety find a standardized effect size equal to or greater than 0.3?
59% chance
Will AOH1996 advance past Phase II trials by the end of 2027?
51% chance
Will the pre-clinical results on the cancer drug AOH1996 be broadly confirmed by independent team(s)?
26% chance
Will the Phase 3 Trials of Olpasiran be a Success?
55% chance
Will the HTVN 142 clinical trial to vaccinate against HIV be successful?
81% chance
Will cevumeran start a Phase III trial for pancreatic cancer by 2030?
57% chance