Will FTX creditors get back more than 100%?
Plus
54
Ṁ26k2025
96%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If FTX has excess funds, bankruptcy team could potentially pay interest on claims.
This market is about FTX international creditors.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@Simon74fe Just to clarify, a change in petition date would not suffice to resolve this market to YES (even if it increases payouts)
https://claims-market.com/pricing
(No affiliation/not endorsing) price around 87%-92% recovery. There should be some discounting in that price to account for the delay in recovery.
Related questions
Related questions
Will any FTXFF grantee be legally compelled to return funds due to FTX's bankruptcy?
28% chance
Will FTX creditors get an option to be paid back using stablecoins?
20% chance
Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?
64% chance
What percentage of their money will FTX customers get back?
Will FTX pay more in taxes to the IRS than it returns to creditors?
11% chance
Will >5% of an FTX grant be clawed back, from >2 individual workers, by end of 2026?
80% chance
Will >5% of >2 FTX political donations received before the 90-day bankruptcy period be clawed back?
26% chance
What percentage of FTX Future Fund grant funds will ultimately be returned/clawed back?
26
How many "cents on the dollar" will FTX international clients get back?
98% chance
Will the recipients of naming rights money for the FTX Arena receive a demand to give their money back (e.g. to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?
76% chance