Will the UK Government announce that they are abolishing the two-child benefit cap by the end of 2024?
18
Ṁ2047
Dec 22
19%
chance

In 2017, the UK government introduced a "two-child cap" on Universal Credit. This effectively means that when the government calculates how much benefits (AKA welfare) a family is entitled to, they will treat a family with more than two children as having only two children.

This policy was opposed by Labour when they were in opposition and it is unpopular with MPs and activists on the left of the party, but the party leadership say that reversing the policy immediately would be too expensive. In the first few days of the new government, the party suspended the whip from seven MPs who voted against the government on the King's Speech over the issue.

Will the government announce that they are abolishing the two-child cap by the end of the year?

Resolution notes:

  • Announcing that the policy is being abolished by the end of the year is sufficient to resolve this to YES even if the implementation is announced to be happening after the end of the year

  • The government must announce that the policy is being scrapped rather than just affirming that they would like to scrap it, that they intend to scrap it, etc.

  • Raising the limit to three/four children rather than two will be sufficient

  • In the very unlikely event that the government reforms the entire benefits system so radically that the two-child cap is redundant and no longer applies, that will be sufficient to resolve to YES

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