Will the UK's monthly GDP figure published on 15th August show positive growth?
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resolved Aug 15
Resolved
NO

The UK's Office for National Statistics will publish the latest monthly GDP reading at 7:00 UK time on Thursday 15th August.

This is the month-on-month figure - released around six weeks after the end of the month that is being measured (June in this case).

Will this reading show positive growth?

Resolution notes:

  • A reading of 0.0% resolves to NO

  • This market resolves based on the reading published on the day, future revisions are not relevant

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@traders

The headlines are all about the 0.6% growth seen in the quarter, but this market is about the month rather than the quarter and growth for the month of June came in at 0.0% so this resolves to NO.

More details in the ONS report.

This seems like a bit of a statistical blip - will we return to recordable growth next month?

/SimonGrayson/will-the-uks-monthly-gdp-figure-pub-bc999axmka