Will AI decide to uncouple its destiny from humanity's?

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21%

By 2050

39%

By 2100

80%

Later or never

Besides the boom vs doom AI scenario, one of the discussions regarding a post AGI world involves coupled VS uncoupled. See below the definition we'll use for this market:

Coupled: AI keeps being connected to humanity. It doesn't matter whether AI rules, humans rule or whether there is no clear-cut distinction between the two any more
Uncoupled: AI decides to leave us to focus on its own problems or pursuits. There should be such a clear cut difference between AI and the rest of the world that it cannot be considered part of the same civilization. (Imagine the difference between monkeys and humans in 2024)

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(Imagine the difference between monkeys and humans in 2024)

So, the AI keeps encroaching further and further into our habitat until eventually we go extinct?

Whether we go extinct doesn't affect the resolution of this market. It's about whether AI society is strongly connected to human society

nevermind, it was answered below 👍

This depends on the AIs being highly aligned to human preferences (ignoring human owned resources and leaving humans alone), yet without being controlled by humans. It also depends on all such AIs acting in the same way.

@singer if there are more than one kind of AI, and at least one leaves, the market resolves true

@SimoneRomeo What if it's configured by humans to uncouple itself?

@GazDownright it depends on what "configured" means. For example, if it's a part of an experiment to see what will happen, it would count as still being coupled. If it's more like an exile or the result of a power struggle then it should count as uncoupled. Does it make sense?

@SimoneRomeo Yeah, makes sense 👍

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