Will Dan Hendrycks believe xAI has had a meaningful positive impact on AI alignment at the end of 2024? | Manifold

Will Dan Hendrycks believe xAI has had a meaningful positive impact on AI alignment at the end of 2024?

Plus

24

Ṁ1651

Dec 31

42%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Eager to hear from Dan Hendrycks what he would be some of the criteria he is looking for that would cause this to resolve as Yes!

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#️ AI Alignment

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

I feel like he's the wrong person to ask. If he's publicly associated with it, it would be really awkward for him to say something bad about it.

https://manifold.markets/Alana/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-believe-xai?r=QWxhbmE

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky believe xAI has had a meaningful positive impact on AI alignment at the end of 2024?

50% chance. Just like in the Dan Hendrycks market, it’d be great if Eliezer could provide/suggest some likely criteria for this!

Related questions

Will xAI AI be a Major AI Lab by 2025?

-6% 1d26% chance

Will OpenAI + an AI alignment organization announce a major breakthrough in AI alignment? (2024)

In 2025, will I believe that aligning automated AI research AI should be the focus of the alignment community?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky believe xAI has had a meaningful positive impact on AI alignment at the end of 2024?

In 2024, will OpenPhilanthropy post about concrete progress on AI alignment due to one of their grants?

Will Kurzgesagt release a video specifically about the AI Alignment Problem before the end of 2024?

-30% 1d10% chance

Will xAI significantly rework their alignment plan by the start of 2026?

Will OpenAI + an AI alignment organization announce a major breakthrough in AI alignment? (2024)

Will xAI have the most powerful AI by December 2024?

Will OpenAI announce a major breakthrough in AI alignment in 2024?

Related questions

Will xAI AI be a Major AI Lab by 2025?

Will Kurzgesagt release a video specifically about the AI Alignment Problem before the end of 2024?

Will OpenAI + an AI alignment organization announce a major breakthrough in AI alignment? (2024)

Will xAI significantly rework their alignment plan by the start of 2026?

In 2025, will I believe that aligning automated AI research AI should be the focus of the alignment community?

Will OpenAI + an AI alignment organization announce a major breakthrough in AI alignment? (2024)

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky believe xAI has had a meaningful positive impact on AI alignment at the end of 2024?

Will xAI have the most powerful AI by December 2024?

In 2024, will OpenPhilanthropy post about concrete progress on AI alignment due to one of their grants?

Will OpenAI announce a major breakthrough in AI alignment in 2024?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules